Lake Oswego & West Linn Statistics Review: August 2013
Overall the Lake Oswego & West Linn market is a seller’s real estate market. On the buyer’s side interest rates are still very low with small increases from all time lows and closed sales are down from last year. On the seller’s side overall inventory is extremely low and marketing time is 75 days. When the year to year price comparison is up significantly and the average sales price percent change is also up significantly from last year at this time I have to give it a current price trend rating of significantly Appreciating.
Lake Oswego & West Linn’s Average Sales Price Percent Change is +14.2% ending August 2013 compared to Lake Oswego & West Linn’s Average Sales Price Percent Change ending August 2012 was -0.2% or an increase of +14.4% comparatively.
Average Sales Price Percent Change is a good conservative indicator for determining if a market is appreciating or depreciating. *This is the 12 month rolling average for sales price which takes the rolling average sales price over her last twelve months (9/1/12- 8/31/13) and compares it to the rolling average sales price of the previous 12 months (9/1/11-8/31/12).
Lake Oswego & West Linn, Oregon's Current Real Estate Climate when Comparing August’s Results this Year (2013) to Last Year (August 2012), here is what you will find:
The average homeowner's equity increased by $78,500 or +17.0% of value.
Average Sales Price in August 2013 was $548,600
Average Sales Price in August of 2012 was $470,100
Number of closed sales for the month of August 2013 was 125, down by -16%.
Number of closed sales for August 2012 was 149.
The August 2013 supply of homes stands at 4.5 months, down 1%.
August 2012 supply of homes was 4.6 months.
(The supply or inventory is how long it would take to sell off the current/available homes on the market at the current rate of sale.)
The time it takes on average from when a homeowner lists their home for sale to when a home has an accepted offer is 75 days. This statistic is down by -34 days (The August 2012 Total Marketing Time ended at 109 days).
It's important to compare these statistics to the entire Portland Metropolitan area as a whole which includes all of the city of Portland as well as the surrounding suburbs. This will help you to determine how each area is performing.
Portland Metropolitan Area Stats & Review
The current Rolling Price Appreciation/Depreciation percent change is +12.1%, which is an 11.9% increase from +0.2% ending August 2012 . The current year to year comparison average sales price change from (August 2012- August 2013) is reflecting price increases of 12.1%. With the Rolling Average Price increasing 11.9%, Average and Median Sales Price both substantially higher from last year (14.3% & 14.9%), supply levels low at 3.1 months, demand up, marketing time down to 69 days (97 days ending August 2012) I have to give it an overall market rating of significantly Appreciating prices. To establish trend you need to consider the very longer term such as rolling average sale price percent change from year to year but you also need to consider the immediate trend when compared to last year’s same month and in many cases even the previous few months of data.
*This is the 12 month rolling average for sales price which takes the rolling average sales price over her last twelve months (9/1/12- 8/31/13) and compares it to the rolling average sales price of the previous 12 months (9/1/11-8/31/12). In this case the rolling average over the last twelve months is $300,900 and the rolling average of the previous 12 months was $268,400. You take the rolling average price difference and divide it by previous 12 month rolling average and you get +12.1%.
When comparing August’s results this year 2013 to last year (August 2012) here is what you will find:
The average homeowner's equity increased by $40,200 or 14% of value.
Average Sales Price in August 2013 was $321,900
Average Sales Price in August of 2012 was $281,700
Number of closed sales for the month of August 2013 was 2623
Number of closed sales for the month of August 2012 was 2311
The closed sales ratio reflected an increase of 312 or 14%
The August 2013 supply in the entire Portland Metro area stands at 3.1 months down 0.8 months from last year.
The August 2012 supply in the entire Portland Metro area was 3.9 months, which was down 2.3 months from August 2011’s 6.2 months of inventory.
The time it takes on average from when a homeowner lists their home to when a home has an accepted offer is 69 days, which is down -31 days from August 2012’s total market time of 100 days.
Portland Metro Real Estate data comes from the RMLS of Portland, which is the region’s local multiple listing source for real estate listings. If you would like to receive e-mailed reports simply let me know.
2013 Portland Area/Section Reports:
For the most current Portland real estate market recap summary click here.
For the most current Portland real estate statistics summary click here.
For 2012 Portland Area/Section Reports click here.
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